Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.001254 0.001299 0.001344 0.001394 0.001448 0.001503 0.001566
2025-08-17 0.001171 0.001235 0.001304 0.001382 0.001468 0.001562 0.001672
2025-08-24 0.001105 0.001183 0.001267 0.001366 0.001480 0.001607 0.001762
2025-08-31 0.001076 0.001166 0.001266 0.001387 0.001529 0.001695 0.001905
2025-09-07 0.001043 0.001142 0.001254 0.001391 0.001558 0.001758 0.002022
2025-09-14 0.001005 0.001110 0.001229 0.001379 0.001564 0.001792 0.002101
2025-09-21 0.000970 0.001078 0.001203 0.001361 0.001562 0.001813 0.002165
2025-09-28 0.000942 0.001053 0.001183 0.001351 0.001567 0.001843 0.002240
2025-10-05 0.000901 0.001011 0.001141 0.001309 0.001528 0.001812 0.002228
2025-10-12 0.000879 0.000990 0.001124 0.001299 0.001530 0.001835 0.002292
2025-10-19 0.000863 0.000978 0.001116 0.001300 0.001546 0.001877 0.002387
2025-10-26 0.000844 0.000960 0.001101 0.001290 0.001546 0.001897 0.002449
2025-11-02 0.000834 0.000953 0.001099 0.001298 0.001572 0.001955 0.002578
2025-11-09 0.000817 0.000938 0.001087 0.001292 0.001577 0.001984 0.002663
2025-11-16 0.000800 0.000921 0.001072 0.001280 0.001575 0.002001 0.002728
2025-11-23 0.000796 0.000921 0.001079 0.001299 0.001616 0.002087 0.002920
2025-11-30 0.000786 0.000914 0.001075 0.001304 0.001637 0.002141 0.003063
2025-12-07 0.000771 0.000899 0.001061 0.001293 0.001634 0.002157 0.003137
2025-12-14 0.000755 0.000882 0.001044 0.001277 0.001623 0.002160 0.003186
2025-12-21 0.000742 0.000869 0.001032 0.001268 0.001621 0.002178 0.003265
2025-12-28 0.000719 0.000842 0.001001 0.001231 0.001575 0.002118 0.003184
2026-01-04 0.000708 0.000831 0.000990 0.001221 0.001572 0.002131 0.003252
2026-01-11 0.000700 0.000824 0.000986 0.001222 0.001584 0.002172 0.003381